accumulation

Tracking Snow Chances

11:30AM  January 4,2017

Happy New Year! Winter has arrived and despite Kentucky weather’s Spring-like escapades, we’re always reminded that Winter is still upon us. For the last two days its been dreary and in the 60s. Today, bare cold and frigid weather is filtering into the region. But lets be hopeful, if you feel like you’re missing out on the snow this season, there’s a good chance we get our first accumulating snowfall later this week, in fact, soon!

 

Tomorrow, I’m tracking a snowmaker that will usher through in waves. The track and chances of this snow system has been consistent over the past couple of days, it’s not going to be a shutdown snow, but it is just enough snow to be noticed. As you can see from the NAM run, the snow moves in as early as Thursday morning. However, keep in mind that the snow must tackle some of the dry air we have place now. So, it’s likely we’ll start off with just a couple of flakes falling from the sky. Don’t anticipate an immediate “snow down” once the first flakes arrive. I’ll say around 10am-the afternoon and evening, we’ll see some moderate and even heavier bands of snow that could put down a couple of inches in some spots.

nam-model-runs

NAM MODEL RUNS-PIVOTALWEATHER

 

In terms of accumulation, NAM is putting the I-64 corridor around the 1”-3” for accumulating snow. *NOTE This goes from Thursday through Friday morning.

snowfall-accumulation-fri

NAM SNOWFALL -PIVOTALWEATHER

 

Here’s my initial thoughts on the expected snowfall…

snow-potential

So kids, Snow day tomorrow? Not likely, I think there’s a better chance for school closings Friday.

School watch meter Thursday.jpg school-watch-meter-friday

I’ll keep you posted! 😉

 

Light Snow Showers Possible Late Wednesday. #KYWX

9:20 PM 11/18/14

It’s late this Tuesday evening and i’m tracking a polar plunge, the effects of that is being shown through those wind chill readings this hour, courtesy of the Kentucky Mesonet.

Kentucky_web

Snow chances return, as a period of light snow will move through the region late Wednesday through early Thursday morning. NAM suggests a line of snow showers moving in Wednesday night. SO those of you asking me “When is the next time we’ll see snow?” There’s your answer.

snow squal Thursday

Double Checking…

GFS also shows a light snow band early Thursday morning. Temps during this will likely be around 30 degrees Fahrenheit.

gfs thursday

All in all, don’t anticipate much accumulation, a dusting or a trace is possible, some areas may not even see anything on the ground.

Good night and stay safe!

(Forecaster Darius Mack)